|
The Macquarie river is a major river of the Murray-Darling Basin. Its catchment begins in the Great Dividing Range, around Mudgee, Bathurst and Orange, and then the river flows northwest with most of it ending in one of the most important wetland systems in Australia - the Macquarie Marshes. About 80% of river flows originate in the Great Dividing Range. Major changes have occurred to river flows as a result of river regulation and diversions of water upstream from the Macquarie Marshes.
This project would adopt practical Bayesian methods (e.g. using WinBUGS) with the aim of determining how the river has changed as a result of river regulation and in particular the effects on river flows at different points in the river. The project would investigate relationships between rainfall and river flows before and after river regulation.
Objective: Determine Bayesian statistical models relating annual rainfall to river flows before and after regulation for two different parts of the river: the mid-section and before the Macquarie Marshes. Question: WHat is the nature of the effect of river regulation?
Data: Rainfall data - more than 100 years available! River flow data - gauge data; available for a number of different places on the river; usually about 15-30 years before regulation and 70-90 uyears after river regulation. Key sites: Dubbo, Warren and Oxley.
|